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COP31: Climate is changing the economics of business

COP31 turns its attention to finance and trade. What will the transition mean for our costs, capital, supply chains and ability to compete?

Today, COP31 turns its attention to finance and trade. For businesses, the question is not whether climate belongs on the agenda. It is: What will the transition mean for our costs, capital, supply chains and ability to compete?

According to the IEA the sums involved are already significant. Global energy investment was expected to reach $3.3 trillion in 2025, with $2.2 trillion flowing into clean technologies, twice the $1.1 trillion invested in fossil fuels.

This is not simply climate ambition. It is a major reallocation of capital towards renewables, grids, storage, efficiency, electrification and lower-emission technologies.

Businesses need to understand where they sit within that shift.

The cost of standing still is rising

The transition creates opportunities to reduce energy use, improve efficiency, strengthen resilience and invest in cleaner technologies. But it also creates financial exposure for businesses that fail to act.

The World Bank reported that carbon pricing generated more than $100 billion in government revenues during 2024. There are now 80 carbon-pricing instruments worldwide, covering approximately 28% of global greenhouse gas emissions in economies representing nearly two-thirds of global economic output.

Those costs do not remain within government policy. They can flow through energy, materials, manufacturing, transport and international supply chains, influencing the cost and competitiveness of products and services.

The commercial question is therefore not simply, “How do we reduce carbon?”

It is: “Where are we financially exposed, and where could action deliver a return?”

Resilience also has a price

Climate risk is already translating into real economic losses. Swiss Re reported natural catastrophes caused approximately $220 billion in global economic losses during 2025, of which $107 billion was insured.

For businesses, the impact can extend well beyond physical damage. Extreme weather can disrupt suppliers, transport, production, energy infrastructure and access to essential materials.

A supply chain that appears cost-effective today may be less competitive when disruption, energy volatility, carbon costs and changing trade requirements are considered.

Businesses therefore need to understand where critical dependencies sit and where investment could improve both resilience and efficiency.

Turn climate action into commercial action

The opportunity is not to launch another disconnected climate initiative. It is to use climate, energy and supply-chain insight to make better business decisions.

That means:

  • identifying where energy, carbon and climate create financial exposure;
  • assessing which interventions offer the strongest commercial and carbon return;
  • prioritising capital based on cost, impact, feasibility and risk;
  • strengthening vulnerable or carbon-intensive supply chains; and
  • developing a practical transition roadmap with clear actions and investment priorities.

At Inspired, we help businesses connect these elements. We assess energy, carbon and climate risks across operations and value chains, identify cost-saving and decarbonisation opportunities, engage suppliers and build practical transition roadmaps.

COP31 may frame the global discussion, but the decisions sit with individual businesses.

Where should you invest? Where are you exposed? And where could climate action make your business more efficient, resilient and competitive?

If the answers are not yet clear, talk to Inspired. We can help turn the scale of the transition into a focused plan for action.